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“I’ll demand that interest rates drop immediately,” Trump said. “And likewise, they should be dropping all over the world. Interest rates should follow us all over.”
...
Those comments come ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Jan. 28-29, where interest rate decisions will be made. Markets are pricing in an almost 0% chance that the Fed will lower interest rates at its next meeting, per the CME Group data.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/24/us-treasury-yields-investors-consider-trumps-latest-comments-.html



https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

Financial markets believe neither his bs promises to lower inflation, nor Musk's promises to reduce government spending.
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CHENNAI – Singapore companies will invest $5 billion in several areas, including infrastructure, technology, sustainability and data centres, in Tamil Nadu, expanding the Republic’s presence in the southern Indian state.

MTI noted that Tamil Nadu is “often the first port of call for Singapore companies looking at South India, given the cultural and historical familiarity between both states”.

The state, with a population of 72 million, is the second-largest contributor to India’s gross domestic product, behind Maharashtra, whose capital is Mumbai. Tamil Nadu’s ambition is to be a US$1 trillion (S$1.33 trillion) economy by 2030, and it has been aggressive in wooing foreign investors. Its chief minister, Mr M.K. Stalin, travelled to Singapore in May 2023 to attract investments from the South-east Asian nation.

https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/south-asia/singapore-companies-to-invest-5-billion-in-india-s-tamil-nadu-state


A lot of it is prob laundered Indian grey money, but importantly they are not going to China any more.
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Twitter is the largest individual value destruction since the dotcom bust.

Twitter is now worth just one-third of what Elon Musk paid for the social-media platform

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/twitter-now-worth-just-33-185709652.html

On the other hand,
The latest markdown erases about $850 million from Musk’s $187 billion fortune, according to the index. Despite Twitter’s issues, Musk’s wealth is up more than $48 billion this year, largely due to a 63% surge in Tesla Inc.’s share price.

Buying Twitter with somebody else's money makes perfect sense from the risk management perspective.
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В русском языке нет слова эквивалентного "enablers", поэтому Грефа и Набиуллину лучше всего называть подельниками хуйла.


Instead of breaking with Putin, the technocrats have cemented their role as his enablers, using their expertise and tools to soften the blow of western sanctions and hold Russia’s wartime economy together

As the war rages on, critics say their continued silence while they help the Russian state tick along has become a form of acceptance, making them complicit in a war they privately profess to oppose.

https://www.ft.com/content/fe5fe0ed-e5d4-474e-bb5a-10c9657285d2
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О Набиуллиной и Российском ЦБ
https://meduza.io/feature/2022/06/27/kryshka-groba-zakryta-i-zakolochena

По словам трех источников «Медузы» в ЦБ, с начала вторжения из регулятора пока уволилось не больше 50 человек — из штата почти в 50 тысяч сотрудников.
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The UK and EU have agreed a co-ordinated ban on insuring ships carrying Russian oil, shutting Moscow out of the vital Lloyd’s of London insurance market and sharply curbing its ability to export crude, according to British and European officials.
...
Insurance has been a big sticking point in the development of the EU oil ban, with underwriters warning of the wider economic consequences of clamping down on a sector that is crucial to international trade.

There was also concern in Brussels that the EU acting alone on insurance sanctions would mean that more business flowed to London’s international market.
...

Years of complying with sanctions on Iranian oil cargoes have provided a template for compliance, said senior figures in the Lloyd’s market. “The only complication is making sure it is Russian oil to begin with,” said one. “It’s not the easiest job in the world, but neither is it impossible.”

https://www.ft.com/content/10372dd3-be3c-42b9-982b-241a38efcc88
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Thanks to Elon Musk, we all can now see that if you are reach enough you can buy as much law as you want. Of course, this mostly applies to civil litigation. Elon Musk can violate NDAs, SEC rules, ownership boundaries and pay off legal costs as well as imposed fines because they are way below his pain threshold.
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The US Treasury said it would no longer permit dollar payments to be made from Russian government accounts at US financial institutions. “Russia must choose between draining remaining valuable dollar reserves or new revenue coming in, or default,” a US Treasury spokesperson said.

ft.com (April 5, 2022)

also
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraines-president-vows-to-hold-russian-forces-to-account-after-war-crime-reports-11649068251

"President Biden called for a war crimes trial over the accounts of rape and killings of hundreds of civilians in Bucha and other formerly Russian-occupied towns around the Ukrainian capital and said Russian President Vladimir Putin must be held accountable."
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After bringing the war to a successful close, he was equally happy in adjusting the problems of peace, by establishing concord between the cities, and particularly by healing the dissensions between debtors and creditors. 3 For he ordained that the creditor should annually take two thirds of his debtor's income, and that the owner of the property should use the rest, and so on until the debt was cancelled.

https://penelope.uchicago.edu/Thayer/E/Roman/Texts/Plutarch/Lives/Caesar*.html

Was it to replace debt jails? Also, I haven't seen an analysis of historic debt-to-income ratios.
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HONG KONG—China’s Commerce Ministry said it would expand a pilot program for its digital currency to include a number of large cities, advancing a pioneering initiative by a major central bank to launch an electronic payment system.

The digital currency pilot program will cover much of China’s most prosperous regions, the Commerce Ministry said Friday: the capital Beijing and nearby Tianjin and Hebei province in the north; the Yangtze River Delta to the south; and, along China’s wealthy southern coast, Guangdong province and the neighboring cities of Hong Kong and Macau.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-to-expand-testing-of-a-digital-currency-11597385324


Attempts to arrest or even contain China's technology advances in financial services will prove to be futile. They are moving rapidly in a wide-open field with a clear mission to own the next generation transactions system.
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The Bank of Japan will begin substantive testing of digital currency it might one day issue as fears rise in the government and ruling Liberal Democratic Party that China could debut one first, posing a national security threat.

http://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/13587771


China is driving introduction of digital currencies in Asia. This is the biggest threat to the US dollar as thr world's reserve currency.

Decoupling

Jun. 8th, 2020 09:05 am
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Markets are going up, while Trump's rating is going down. This is new.
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When it comes to investing, the vast majority of the public now uses index funds. In other words, when it matters financially people don't rely on private information in their decision making.

On the other hand, we see an explosion of conspiracy theories on social media, propagated and exploited even at the level of the President of the US. In an interview a couple of years ago, Rep. Nunes said that the ratio of conspiracy theory letters to issue letters flipped completely to something like 5:1. Furthermore, Facebook and Youtube make it now possible to target susceptible people with specific political ads. In other words, in politics people's decision making is highly influenced by the perception of having access to relevant private information.

Why is this divergence?

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/world/justice-dept-winds-down-clinton-related-inquiry-once-championed-by-trump-it-found-nothing-of-consequence/ar-BBYObjg?li=BBU4PL8
A Justice Department inquiry launched more than two years ago to mollify conservatives clamoring for more investigations of Hillary Clinton has effectively ended with no tangible results, and current and former law enforcement officials said they never expected the effort to produce much of anything.
timelets: (Default)
The country would long be bankrupt if the US dollar were not a reserve currency. The government will be fighting crypto tooth and nail.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York added $72.8 billion in temporary liquidity to financial markets Friday.

The intervention came via three-day repurchase agreements, or repos. The Fed took all the securities offered to it by eligible banks. Fed repo interventions take in Treasury and mortgage securities from eligible banks in what is effectively a short-term loan of central-bank cash, collateralized by the securities.

The Fed also bought $7.5 billion in Treasury bills on Friday. Eligible banks offered the Fed $23.17 billion.

On Thursday, the Fed reported that its balance sheet had risen from $3.8 trillion in September to $4.07 trillion as of Wednesday. Some $208 billion in repo interventions were also outstanding as of Wednesday.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-adds-72-8-billion-to-markets-balance-sheet-moves-to-4-07-trillion-11575642409
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Dr Ruja's genius was to recognise that established MLM [multi-level marketing] sellers with huge downlines were the perfect vehicle to market her fake coin - a plan the FBI says she privately referred to as "the bitch of Wall Street, meets MLM". This was the secret of OneCoin's success. It wasn't just a fake cryptocurrency, it was an old-fashioned pyramid scheme, with the fake coin as its "product". No wonder it spread like wildfire.

https://www.bbc.com/news/stories-50435014

It's a mechanism for exponential growth of the customer base combined with exponential profits per each customer. The product itself is designed so that somebody else will end up holding the bag when the scheme collapses.
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Part of what sent Bitcoin climbing to nearly $20,000 two years ago was market manipulation by a single entity, a new study concludes.

https://www.wsj.com/podcasts/the-journal/bitcoin-comes-untethered/879a0b61-93ff-4ec8-bf92-5a609fe67a47


75% of all trades in bitcoin is used to convert to Tether.
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Chinese President Xi Jinping has urged increased efforts to speed up development in this sector, underscoring the important role of blockchain technology in the new round of technological innovation and industrial transformation.
...
Li Wei, director of the Science and Technology Department of the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, called for an in-depth study of blockchain technology during the Bund Summit in Shanghai on Monday.

Blockchain has great potential to boost digital innovation, he said. "We need to promote the deep integration of blockchain and the real economy to resolve problems like small businesses having difficulty in obtaining loans, banks having difficulty in risk control and government agencies having difficulty in supervision," he said.


http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1168159.shtml
timelets: (Default)
- If interest rates for small savers ever were to go negative, it would give rise to the juxtaposition of income penalties for households with benefits for “the elites” through their ability to profit from rising equity prices. Economic impact aside, the boost to populist politics would likely be dramatic.

- Negative rates on U.S. Treasurys would, for example, harm the Social Security Fund (which can only invest in Treasurys), hastening the day when it runs out of money.

- Financial models and algorithms – which essentially are a matter of looking for and profiting from deviations from historic relationships – may not work as well as they did in the past, since history (all of which has been based on positive interest rates) may be out the window.

https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/mysterious.pdf


somewhat related https://www.coindesk.com/3-ways-staking-will-upend-the-economics-of-ethereum

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